Popular polls give an inaccurate snapshot of the Presidential race, but there are several websites that break down all the available polls state by state and tally up the Electoral College votes. It takes 270 of 538 Electoral Votes to win… well, actually, Bush only needs 269, because if there is a tie, the heavily Republican House of Representatives will cast the deciding vote. Here’s a summary of the websites tracking individual state electoral votes:

Election Projection:
Electoral Votes: Bush 274, Kerry 264
Popular Vote: Bush 49.5%, Kerry 48.7%
Federal Review:
Electoral Votes: Bush 291, Kerry 247
Popular Vote: Bush 50.1%, Kerry 48.8%
Daly Thoughts:
Electoral Votes: Bush 264, Kerry 243, Tossup 32
Popular Vote: Bush 47.4%, Kerry 46.4%
Coldheartedtruth:
Electoral Votes: Bush 295, Kerry 243
Popular Vote: Bush 49.0%, Kerry 45.5%
Tripias:
Electoral Votes: Bush 291, Kerry 247
Electoral Vote:
Oops, this site went down while I was viewing it. I think I broke it.
Ok, it’s back up:
Electoral Votes: Bush 284, Kerry 228
MyDD:
Electoral Votes: Bush 227, Kerry 311
Popular Vote: Bush 49.1%, Kerry 48.9%
Professor PollKatz:
Electoral Votes: Bush 256, Kerry 282
Race2004:
Electoral Votes: Bush 196, Kerry 222, , Tossup 120
Rasmussen:
Electoral Votes: Bush 240, Kerry 194, Tossup 104
RealClearPolitics:
Electoral Votes: Bush 264, Kerry 237, Tossup 37

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